Fantasy Football Week 16: Predictions

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Our analysts reveal the takes they have the most conviction for heading into Round Two of the fantasy football playoffs to help you feel better about the lineup decisions ahead. For more start-sit advice, check out our Week 16 position-by-position rankings.

The rookie finally enters must-start status

It finally happened. The rookie we’ve been yearning to see run out in a full-time role at long last got that promotion. Over the last two weeks, Rashee Rice has run a route on 80.2% of the Chiefs’ dropbacks. That jump from the 60% range to north of 80% is critical. His aDOT over the last two weeks is only 5.1. He’s still only being tasked with running a small handful of routes over the middle of the field as a slot or off-ball flanker receiver. He’s not running out in the assignment of a typical No. 1 wideout. But this is more critical to debating his long-term outlook. For now, he has a 23.5% target share, which is the highest on the team. Being on the field more was all we needed to get that bump in production. He’s a clear-cut must-start receiver going into a good Week 16 matchup against the Raiders. — Matt Harmon

Seahawks receiver trio flies high

Seattle will take on the Titans this week. Tennessee has been above average against the run this season, but poor in coverage. The Titans allow the most production to outside receivers this season. We even saw Noah Brown post 82 yards on eight catches last week against Tennessee with Case Keenum as his quarterback.

We’ve seen all three Seahawks receivers earn at least 20% of the targets the past three games. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has stepped up and continues to beat man coverage in his rookie season. Tyler Lockett has consistently earned targets, seeing at least 20% of target share in each game since Week 1. DK Metcalf is still a walking cheat code. He leads the NFL in the combination of deep targets and red-zone looks — the most valuable targets in fantasy football.

All three Seattle receivers are starts this week…

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Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/conviction-picks-week-16-fantasy-football-takes-our-analysts-believe-in-the-most-212529476.html

Author : Yahoo Sports

Publish date : 2023-12-21 21:25:29

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