Here’s why Anthony Richardson is the most boom-or-bust quarterback since the merger

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Small sample size alert! But, Anthony Richardson’s three games in 2024 make him the most boom-or-bust QB since the 1970 NFL-AFL merger.

At least that’s what the stats say. 

Let’s start with the positive. He leads the NFL in yards per completion (16.2) this year. That would actually be the highest by any quarterback in a season since 2000 ahead of Donovan McNabb (14.7 in 2006), according to my colleague R.J. White. 

This throw (which is one of the best dimes ever) definitely played a part in bringing that average up. 

On the other hand, Richardson ranks last in the NFL in completion percentage (49.3) and interceptions (six) this season. 

That completion rate would be the fourth-lowest in a season since 2000, along with some major draft busts.

 Lowest comp pct by qualified QBs since 2000

2000 Akili Smith

44.2%

2011 Tim Tebow

46.5%

2009 JaMarcus Russell

48.8%

2024 Anthony Richardson

49.3%

It must be incredibly frustrating as a Colts fan to see Richardson make a throw like the one above then miss a throw like this:

Or make a decision like this:

Or this.

And this.

Sidenote. A Richardson “Dos Equis” commercial would go something like this. “I don’t complete passes often, but when I do, they go for a million yards.”

It’s that unique combination that creates a rare statistical profile. 

Now, it’s unlikely the numbers hold for an entire season, so being the stats junkie that I am, I looked at similar three-game spans. The sample is small, but is still very rare and fits the profile of Cam Newton, Michael Vick, Tim Tebow and Randall Cunningham.

Prior to Richardson, the last player with a completion rate below 50% and 15-plus yards per completion in a three-game span was Newton in 2016 (minimum 50 attempts).Three players since 2000 have had a completion rate below 50%, a yards per completion of 15-plus and 100 rushing yards in a three-game span: Richardson, Vick, Tebow.Finally, hang with me here! He…

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Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/heres-why-anthony-richardson-is-the-most-boom-or-bust-quarterback-since-the-merger/

Author : Douglas Clawson

Publish date : 2024-09-27 12:25:53

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