Predicting biggest NFL win total discrepancies for 2024: Vikings, Colts under the radar; Bears overrated?

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NFL training camps are right around the corner, which means the NFL season is as well. With free agency and the NFL Draft behind us, the offseason is essentially over when it comes to teams finding ways to improve. Which teams are getting overhyped at this stage? And which teams aren’t being talked about enough?

Below, we will attempt to identify the teams that could provide us with the biggest win discrepancies compared to the lines posted at sportsbooks. Last year, we saw the Houston Texans go 10-7 after being predicted to win 5.5 games, while the Carolina Panthers disappointed by going 2-15 after being projected to win 7.5 games. Who will those teams be this year?

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

The Rams did lose Aaron Donald this offseason, so Vegas expects them to take a couple of steps backwards in 2024. Why? L.A. went 10-7 last year and made the playoffs, and had a “Big Four” on offense that we didn’t talk about enough — probably because they dealt with a few injuries. The Rams went 6-2 in games with Matthew Stafford, Kyren Williams, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua in 2023. That offense averaged a whopping 28.5 points and 398.9 yards of total offense per game, while Stafford threw 18 touchdowns compared to three interceptions. L.A. averaged 6.8 yards per play with this “Big Four” on the field!

The Rams had a decent offseason defensively — drafting Jared Verse and Braden Fiske with their first two picks — brought back cornerback Darious Williams and signed Tre’Davious White and Kamren Curl. The NFC West is a tough division, but the Rams should get to double-digit victories if they remain healthy.

This win total has already moved up, as bettors are onto something. The Vikings lost a few notable names this offseason in Kirk Cousins and Danielle Hunter, but also added a few pass rushers in Dallas Turner, Jonathan Greenard and Andrew Van Ginkel, a new running back in Aaron…

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Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/predicting-biggest-nfl-win-total-discrepancies-for-2024-vikings-colts-under-the-radar-bears-overrated/

Author : Jordan Dajani

Publish date : 2024-06-18 13:11:08

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